NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM WIU
Points 66.4 67.7
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 19.4
Points From Free Throws 14.1 11.7
Shooting NEOM WIU
Field Goals Made 23.7 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 14.1 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.8
Free Throw % 75.0% 62.4%
Ball Control NEOM WIU
Rebounds 32.7 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.7
Turnovers 7.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.0
Steals 6.1 3.9
Fouls 14.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM WIU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.7
% of Possessions with NEOM WIU
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 22.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.1%
Turnover 10.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM WIU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 34.7%