NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM NAU
Points 73.4 69.7
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 21.7
Points From Free Throws 19.7 12.4
Shooting NEOM NAU
Field Goals Made 24.6 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 55.7
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 19.7 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 17.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 69.2%
Ball Control NEOM NAU
Rebounds 35.0 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.6
Turnovers 8.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.5
Steals 6.1 4.2
Fouls 15.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM NAU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 66.9
% of Possessions with NEOM NAU
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 28.5%
Player Fouled 25.1% 21.8%
Turnover 12.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM NAU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 22.3%