NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT LBSU
Points 75.0 68.1
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 14.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.3
Shooting UNT LBSU
Field Goals Made 25.3 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 56.0
Field Goal % 42.8% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 22.8
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.5%
Ball Control UNT LBSU
Rebounds 34.2 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.4
Turnovers 10.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.5
Steals 6.6 6.3
Fouls 16.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT LBSU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 70.6
% of Possessions with UNT LBSU
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 19.0%
Player Fouled 19.4% 23.7%
Turnover 14.5% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT LBSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 34.3%