NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT LSU
Points 69.6 71.3
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 22.1
Points From Free Throws 13.6 16.3
Shooting UNT LSU
Field Goals Made 23.9 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 52.1
Field Goal % 41.8% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 13.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 22.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 73.3%
Ball Control UNT LSU
Rebounds 32.0 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.9
Turnovers 10.6 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 7.9 6.8
Fouls 14.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT LSU
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 66.0
% of Possessions with UNT LSU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.7%
Turnover 15.4% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT LSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 31.4%