NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY LIP
Points 69.6 81.7
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 25.9
Points From Free Throws 11.2 12.6
Shooting NAVY LIP
Field Goals Made 26.1 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 55.4
Field Goal % 41.2% 54.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 65.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 11.2 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 16.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 77.5%
Ball Control NAVY LIP
Rebounds 33.8 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 6.3
Turnovers 9.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.3
Steals 4.5 4.3
Fouls 14.9 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY LIP
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 65.2
% of Possessions with NAVY LIP
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.5%
Turnover 13.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY LIP
Shot Blocked 7.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 23.1%