NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY ARMY
Points 62.5 60.9
Total Points   123.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 21.5
Points From Free Throws 14.5 9.1
Shooting NAVY ARMY
Field Goals Made 21.2 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 50.8
Field Goal % 38.4% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 14.5 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 15.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 60.0%
Ball Control NAVY ARMY
Rebounds 34.4 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.7
Turnovers 8.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.0
Steals 6.0 3.8
Fouls 14.6 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY ARMY
Total Possessions 64.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 60.9
% of Possessions with NAVY ARMY
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 30.7%
Player Fouled 24.9% 22.7%
Turnover 13.0% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY ARMY
Shot Blocked 10.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 27.3%