NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY GTWN
Points 69.4 78.4
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 24.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 18.0
Shooting NAVY GTWN
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 52.6
Field Goal % 42.7% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.4 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 25.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.0%
Ball Control NAVY GTWN
Rebounds 30.3 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.7
Turnovers 9.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.4
Steals 5.8 3.9
Fouls 17.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Navy

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY GTWN
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.6
% of Possessions with NAVY GTWN
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 27.9%
Player Fouled 23.6% 25.8%
Turnover 13.7% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY GTWN
Shot Blocked 8.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 38.3%