NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP DEP
Points 73.0 65.3
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 14.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 18.5
Shooting UTEP DEP
Field Goals Made 26.5 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 43.0
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 13.5 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 25.0
Free Throw % 68.0% 73.8%
Ball Control UTEP DEP
Rebounds 29.9 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 6.1
Turnovers 11.9 18.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 12.3 5.8
Fouls 19.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX El Paso

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP DEP
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 58.7
% of Possessions with UTEP DEP
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 18.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 27.0%
Turnover 16.7% 26.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 17.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP DEP
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 23.5%