NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP RICE
Points 70.0 69.0
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 17.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.8
Shooting UTEP RICE
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 48.9
Field Goal % 43.0% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.8
Free Throw % 68.0% 69.2%
Ball Control UTEP RICE
Rebounds 31.5 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.4
Turnovers 11.8 16.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.9
Steals 11.2 5.8
Fouls 17.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP RICE
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 63.5
% of Possessions with UTEP RICE
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 21.7%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.9%
Turnover 16.5% 22.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 15.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP RICE
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 28.6%