NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MASS HARV
Points 76.4 65.4
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 19.1
Points From Free Throws 13.9 16.3
Shooting MASS HARV
Field Goals Made 27.6 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 53.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 13.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 23.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 69.8%
Ball Control MASS HARV
Rebounds 41.5 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 9.3
Turnovers 9.3 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.0
Steals 7.1 5.7
Fouls 16.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MASS HARV
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 67.4
% of Possessions with MASS HARV
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.6%
Turnover 13.2% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MASS HARV
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 38.6% 26.2%