NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MASS LAS
Points 77.7 69.6
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 43.1 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 23.4
Points From Free Throws 16.1 12.2
Shooting MASS LAS
Field Goals Made 27.7 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 60.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 16.1 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 17.0
Free Throw % 68.2% 71.6%
Ball Control MASS LAS
Rebounds 42.4 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 9.8
Turnovers 8.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.7
Steals 5.2 5.4
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MASS LAS
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 70.7
% of Possessions with MASS LAS
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 28.1%
Player Fouled 22.0% 20.7%
Turnover 12.4% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MASS LAS
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 37.4% 25.6%