NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT EKY
Points 79.6 74.6
Total Points   154.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 25.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 12.7
Shooting CHAT EKY
Field Goals Made 27.5 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 65.1
Field Goal % 43.5% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 43.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 18.4
Free Throw % 75.3% 69.3%
Ball Control CHAT EKY
Rebounds 40.2 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 12.3
Turnovers 9.0 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 5.5
Steals 5.1 5.2
Fouls 13.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Chattanooga

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT EKY
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 76.4
% of Possessions with CHAT EKY
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.9%
Turnover 12.5% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT EKY
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 29.7%