NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU CCU
Points 76.1 73.9
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.5 16.2
Shooting ODU CCU
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 67.0 57.9
Field Goal % 41.3% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 23.4
Free Throw % 65.9% 69.4%
Ball Control ODU CCU
Rebounds 36.2 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.3
Turnovers 7.7 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.7
Steals 9.0 4.4
Fouls 15.6 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU CCU
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 77.5 72.1
% of Possessions with ODU CCU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 24.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 20.7%
Turnover 10.2% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU CCU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 28.1%