NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU COFC
Points 71.4 84.5
Total Points   155.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 37.0
Points From Free Throws 10.0 17.0
Shooting ODU COFC
Field Goals Made 27.1 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 63.3
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 10.0 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 23.6
Free Throw % 65.9% 72.3%
Ball Control ODU COFC
Rebounds 33.4 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 13.6
Turnovers 9.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.5
Steals 6.6 5.3
Fouls 15.6 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Col Charlestn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU COFC
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 77.7
% of Possessions with ODU COFC
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 34.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 36.8%
Player Fouled 17.1% 21.1%
Turnover 13.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU COFC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 34.8%