NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU UNT
Points 63.6 75.9
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 28.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 17.3
Shooting ODU UNT
Field Goals Made 23.1 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 56.1
Field Goal % 40.2% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 10.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 23.1
Free Throw % 65.9% 75.1%
Ball Control ODU UNT
Rebounds 31.9 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.6
Turnovers 10.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.6
Steals 6.6 6.0
Fouls 15.1 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU UNT
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.0
% of Possessions with ODU UNT
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.9%
Turnover 15.5% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU UNT
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 33.6%