NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU GMU
Points 62.5 74.9
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 24.2
Points From Free Throws 9.9 19.5
Shooting ODU GMU
Field Goals Made 22.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 51.9
Field Goal % 37.8% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.9 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 26.3
Free Throw % 65.9% 74.1%
Ball Control ODU GMU
Rebounds 30.6 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.2
Turnovers 9.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.3
Steals 7.0 4.8
Fouls 17.5 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU GMU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.7
% of Possessions with ODU GMU
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.1%
Player Fouled 18.7% 25.2%
Turnover 13.7% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU GMU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 32.2%