NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU VCU
Points 59.5 77.3
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 30.8
Points From Free Throws 10.7 19.2
Shooting ODU VCU
Field Goals Made 21.4 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.1
Field Goal % 35.4% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 26.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 10.7 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 24.8
Free Throw % 65.9% 77.2%
Ball Control ODU VCU
Rebounds 31.8 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.4
Turnovers 9.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.5
Steals 7.2 5.8
Fouls 16.4 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU VCU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 68.5
% of Possessions with ODU VCU
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 33.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 32.3%
Player Fouled 18.0% 23.2%
Turnover 14.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU VCU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 29.2%