NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU MD
Points 59.7 75.4
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 21.7
Points From Free Throws 10.3 22.4
Shooting ODU MD
Field Goals Made 22.0 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 53.9
Field Goal % 36.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 10.3 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 30.7
Free Throw % 65.9% 73.1%
Ball Control ODU MD
Rebounds 31.9 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.2
Turnovers 11.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.8
Steals 6.0 5.4
Fouls 18.8 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU MD
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 72.6
% of Possessions with ODU MD
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 26.3%
Turnover 15.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU MD
Shot Blocked 9.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 34.3%