NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU MRSH
Points 71.4 76.1
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 30.1
Points From Free Throws 11.1 15.2
Shooting ODU MRSH
Field Goals Made 26.4 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 62.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 11.1 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.2
Free Throw % 65.9% 71.7%
Ball Control ODU MRSH
Rebounds 37.8 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.8
Turnovers 10.1 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.5
Steals 7.3 5.9
Fouls 14.7 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU MRSH
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 75.8
% of Possessions with ODU MRSH
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 19.6%
Turnover 13.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU MRSH
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 29.2%