NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH DRKE
Points 67.1 83.3
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 25.0
Points From Free Throws 12.9 15.3
Shooting LEH DRKE
Field Goals Made 23.9 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 57.3
Field Goal % 42.9% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 12.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.5
Free Throw % 72.8% 74.8%
Ball Control LEH DRKE
Rebounds 30.2 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 6.1
Turnovers 12.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.1
Steals 5.8 6.3
Fouls 16.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH DRKE
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 69.7
% of Possessions with LEH DRKE
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.3%
Turnover 16.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.7% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 16.6% 20.1%