NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH L-MD
Points 73.9 64.3
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 20.1
Points From Free Throws 14.1 10.3
Shooting LEH L-MD
Field Goals Made 26.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 54.2
Field Goal % 49.9% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.1 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 16.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 64.1%
Ball Control LEH L-MD
Rebounds 31.2 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 5.2 7.8
Turnovers 9.9 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.0
Steals 7.3 5.8
Fouls 14.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH L-MD
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 64.4
% of Possessions with LEH L-MD
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.9%
Turnover 14.2% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 23.0%