NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH NAVY
Points 71.9 66.7
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 16.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.1
Shooting LEH NAVY
Field Goals Made 25.3 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 56.7
Field Goal % 48.9% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.9
Free Throw % 72.8% 71.0%
Ball Control LEH NAVY
Rebounds 33.4 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.5
Turnovers 11.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 5.0 5.6
Fouls 16.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH NAVY
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 68.9
% of Possessions with LEH NAVY
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 21.6%
Player Fouled 24.5% 23.1%
Turnover 17.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH NAVY
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 26.3%