NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP HOW
Points 84.2 66.0
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 48.8 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 21.5
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.8
Shooting APP HOW
Field Goals Made 31.2 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 63.8
Field Goal % 52.1% 36.1%
2 Pointers Made 24.4 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 36.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 16.9
Free Throw % 69.5% 76.0%
Ball Control APP HOW
Rebounds 39.9 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.3
Turnovers 8.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 7.6 1.9
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 12.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP HOW
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 72.9
% of Possessions with APP HOW
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.8% 17.7%
Turnover 12.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP HOW
Shot Blocked 3.1% 12.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 26.9%