NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU GONZ
Points 70.4 86.8
Total Points   157.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 48.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 25.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 12.7
Shooting WVU GONZ
Field Goals Made 24.6 32.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 62.3
Field Goal % 41.8% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 12.8 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 17.2
Free Throw % 70.4% 73.6%
Ball Control WVU GONZ
Rebounds 30.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.4
Turnovers 10.2 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.2
Steals 3.4 6.7
Fouls 13.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU GONZ
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 72.9
% of Possessions with WVU GONZ
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 27.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 18.5%
Turnover 14.4% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU GONZ
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 32.4%