NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM RMU
Points 75.0 69.8
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 26.2
Points From Free Throws 12.1 11.0
Shooting MSM RMU
Field Goals Made 28.1 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 61.5
Field Goal % 47.8% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.1 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 15.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 69.8%
Ball Control MSM RMU
Rebounds 36.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.7
Turnovers 11.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.6
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 12.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Mt St Marys

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM RMU
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 71.7
% of Possessions with MSM RMU
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 30.5%
Player Fouled 19.2% 16.9%
Turnover 16.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM RMU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 29.9%