NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU SJU
Points 69.4 83.1
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 26.5
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.3
Shooting WVU SJU
Field Goals Made 23.1 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 63.9
Field Goal % 41.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 19.3
Free Throw % 70.4% 74.2%
Ball Control WVU SJU
Rebounds 32.2 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 13.5
Turnovers 12.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 6.3
Steals 4.1 6.9
Fouls 13.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU SJU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 76.2
% of Possessions with WVU SJU
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 29.5%
Player Fouled 24.6% 18.6%
Turnover 16.9% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU SJU
Shot Blocked 9.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 36.9%