NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV UGA
Points 79.2 76.8
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.7
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.0
Shooting XAV UGA
Field Goals Made 28.7 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 61.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 19.5
Free Throw % 75.8% 71.6%
Ball Control XAV UGA
Rebounds 39.2 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.5
Turnovers 10.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.3
Steals 5.9 5.7
Fouls 15.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV UGA
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 73.3
% of Possessions with XAV UGA
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.5%
Turnover 13.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV UGA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 23.1%