NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV WAKE
Points 73.5 80.2
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 20.9
Points From Free Throws 15.6 15.1
Shooting XAV WAKE
Field Goals Made 25.7 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 59.7
Field Goal % 43.4% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 15.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 79.2%
Ball Control XAV WAKE
Rebounds 34.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.6
Turnovers 10.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.2
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 16.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV WAKE
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 71.0
% of Possessions with XAV WAKE
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.4%
Turnover 14.9% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV WAKE
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 23.2%