NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CP CREI
Points 55.2 86.1
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.7 26.7
Points From Free Throws 6.5 16.5
Shooting CP CREI
Field Goals Made 21.9 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 56.8
Field Goal % 33.9% 53.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 34.8% 63.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 6.5 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 9.2 20.5
Free Throw % 70.9% 80.8%
Ball Control CP CREI
Rebounds 27.6 44.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.7
Turnovers 7.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 4.4 3.7
Fouls 15.7 10.2

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CP CREI
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 69.2
% of Possessions with CP CREI
2 Point Attempt 61.8% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 14.5% 22.5%
Turnover 11.4% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CP CREI
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 17.7% 30.4%