NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMU TULN
Points 82.9 75.8
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 20.4
Points From Free Throws 15.0 18.4
Shooting SMU TULN
Field Goals Made 29.4 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 68.4 55.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 25.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 71.6%
Ball Control SMU TULN
Rebounds 44.2 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 16.5 6.4
Turnovers 9.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.9
Steals 7.4 6.4
Fouls 17.6 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMU TULN
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 81.8 70.0
% of Possessions with SMU TULN
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 18.2% 23.5%
Turnover 12.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMU TULN
Shot Blocked 9.1% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 38.9% 18.8%