NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMU ECU
Points 76.5 67.7
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.8
Shooting SMU ECU
Field Goals Made 27.7 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 57.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 20.1
Free Throw % 68.6% 68.6%
Ball Control SMU ECU
Rebounds 40.1 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 11.8
Turnovers 10.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.0
Steals 6.8 6.9
Fouls 14.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Methodist

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMU ECU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 70.1
% of Possessions with SMU ECU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 24.8%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.6%
Turnover 14.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMU ECU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 39.7% 31.7%