NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NKU WSU
Points 61.9 79.3
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 45.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.6 13.1
Shooting NKU WSU
Field Goals Made 21.6 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.2
Field Goal % 37.5% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.6 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 18.5
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.0%
Ball Control NKU WSU
Rebounds 27.3 42.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 11.9
Turnovers 10.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.5 5.9
Steals 6.4 4.8
Fouls 14.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wash State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NKU WSU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 70.6
% of Possessions with NKU WSU
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 25.2%
Player Fouled 20.8% 21.2%
Turnover 14.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NKU WSU
Shot Blocked 10.1% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 37.6%