NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NKU YSU
Points 72.1 78.1
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 28.1
Points From Free Throws 15.0 12.9
Shooting NKU YSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 64.4
Field Goal % 41.3% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 15.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 17.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.3%
Ball Control NKU YSU
Rebounds 35.2 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 13.2
Turnovers 10.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 5.4
Steals 6.6 5.4
Fouls 14.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NKU YSU
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 76.0
% of Possessions with NKU YSU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 35.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.4%
Turnover 14.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NKU YSU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 34.0%