NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NKU WRST
Points 82.3 87.7
Total Points   169.9
Points From 2-Pointers 44.7 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 14.3
Shooting NKU WRST
Field Goals Made 29.9 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.6
Field Goal % 49.0% 55.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 64.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 14.8 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 19.0
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.6%
Ball Control NKU WRST
Rebounds 29.8 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.6
Turnovers 11.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.6
Steals 8.4 5.8
Fouls 15.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Wright St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NKU WRST
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 71.6
% of Possessions with NKU WRST
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.7%
Turnover 14.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NKU WRST
Shot Blocked 4.4% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 29.5%