NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SYR DUKE
Points 71.7 81.9
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 27.6
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.4
Shooting SYR DUKE
Field Goals Made 26.6 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 61.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 17.4
Free Throw % 72.8% 71.6%
Ball Control SYR DUKE
Rebounds 28.1 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 12.0
Turnovers 10.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.3
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 12.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Duke

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SYR DUKE
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 71.7
% of Possessions with SYR DUKE
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.0%
Turnover 14.4% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SYR DUKE
Shot Blocked 5.5% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 35.9%