NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SYR PITT
Points 70.6 79.6
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 31.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.2
Shooting SYR PITT
Field Goals Made 25.2 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 63.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 15.3
Free Throw % 72.8% 73.0%
Ball Control SYR PITT
Rebounds 30.6 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 12.1
Turnovers 10.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.2
Steals 6.0 5.7
Fouls 13.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Pittsburgh

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SYR PITT
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 73.0
% of Possessions with SYR PITT
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 32.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 18.7%
Turnover 14.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SYR PITT
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 33.0%