NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF IOWA
Points 76.6 88.3
Total Points   165.0
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 16.6
Points From Free Throws 12.4 19.2
Shooting UNF IOWA
Field Goals Made 26.1 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 61.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 15.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 12.4 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 24.8
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.4%
Ball Control UNF IOWA
Rebounds 30.0 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 10.0
Turnovers 10.8 7.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.4
Steals 4.4 6.3
Fouls 16.0 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF IOWA
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 75.9
% of Possessions with UNF IOWA
2 Point Attempt 34.9% 54.7%
3 Point Attempt 38.6% 18.0%
Player Fouled 16.9% 21.9%
Turnover 14.8% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF IOWA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 30.6%