NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF EKY
Points 76.3 76.9
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.7 17.9
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.5
Shooting UNF EKY
Field Goals Made 26.0 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 64.0
Field Goal % 41.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 20.9
Free Throw % 77.2% 69.3%
Ball Control UNF EKY
Rebounds 34.7 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.4
Turnovers 8.6 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.7
Steals 4.7 5.0
Fouls 13.7 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF EKY
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 76.9
% of Possessions with UNF EKY
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 55.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 19.1%
Player Fouled 17.8% 19.1%
Turnover 12.0% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF EKY
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 34.0%