NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF JAC
Points 74.9 72.2
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 25.9 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 16.0
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.6
Shooting UNF JAC
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 59.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 23.4 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.4
Free Throw % 77.2% 69.8%
Ball Control UNF JAC
Rebounds 30.7 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 14.0
Turnovers 10.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 5.1 7.0
Fouls 14.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF JAC
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 73.7
% of Possessions with UNF JAC
2 Point Attempt 30.3% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 39.1% 18.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.2%
Turnover 15.8% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF JAC
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 37.2%