NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF MIA
Points 71.6 81.4
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 18.5 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 23.0
Points From Free Throws 8.9 12.3
Shooting UNF MIA
Field Goals Made 24.0 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 63.1
Field Goal % 39.4% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 9.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 19.0 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.9 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 8.9 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 11.5 17.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 71.6%
Ball Control UNF MIA
Rebounds 31.9 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.8
Turnovers 11.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.6
Steals 5.1 7.1
Fouls 13.5 10.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF MIA
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 73.4
% of Possessions with UNF MIA
2 Point Attempt 23.7% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 52.3% 24.7%
Player Fouled 14.1% 18.9%
Turnover 15.5% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF MIA
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 30.8%