NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF FAU
Points 72.0 85.4
Total Points   157.5
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 48.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 18.5
Points From Free Throws 10.3 18.2
Shooting UNF FAU
Field Goals Made 25.1 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 60.3
Field Goal % 41.4% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 10.3 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 25.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 72.6%
Ball Control UNF FAU
Rebounds 29.5 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 11.9
Turnovers 10.8 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.4
Steals 4.1 6.9
Fouls 16.3 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF FAU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 75.7
% of Possessions with UNF FAU
2 Point Attempt 35.5% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 39.7% 21.5%
Player Fouled 16.9% 22.6%
Turnover 14.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF FAU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 35.2%