NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU SDSU
Points 71.0 75.1
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 21.8
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.1
Shooting FAU SDSU
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 61.7
Field Goal % 41.3% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 19.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 73.7%
Ball Control FAU SDSU
Rebounds 36.1 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.7
Turnovers 10.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.0
Steals 6.0 6.2
Fouls 15.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU SDSU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 74.1
% of Possessions with FAU SDSU
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 26.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.6%
Turnover 15.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU SDSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 33.6%