NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN UAB
Points 75.5 88.7
Total Points   164.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 26.6
Shooting KENN UAB
Field Goals Made 26.8 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 56.4
Field Goal % 41.8% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 26.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 35.8
Free Throw % 67.1% 74.3%
Ball Control KENN UAB
Rebounds 32.2 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.0
Turnovers 11.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.1
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 20.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN UAB
Total Possessions 76.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 77.8
% of Possessions with KENN UAB
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 19.6%
Player Fouled 20.3% 26.9%
Turnover 14.5% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN UAB
Shot Blocked 9.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 35.6%