NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU UAB
Points 80.7 76.7
Total Points   157.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 18.3
Points From Free Throws 15.7 15.8
Shooting FAU UAB
Field Goals Made 28.7 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 62.1
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 15.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 21.3
Free Throw % 72.6% 74.3%
Ball Control FAU UAB
Rebounds 36.3 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.4
Turnovers 10.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 6.5 5.3
Fouls 15.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU UAB
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 75.3
% of Possessions with FAU UAB
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 21.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.9%
Turnover 13.7% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU UAB
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 32.9%