NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE LAM
Points 74.1 72.6
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 24.7
Points From Free Throws 14.3 11.2
Shooting RICE LAM
Field Goals Made 25.5 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 63.4
Field Goal % 44.2% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 15.5
Free Throw % 69.2% 72.1%
Ball Control RICE LAM
Rebounds 38.1 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.9
Turnovers 11.4 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.5
Steals 5.1 6.5
Fouls 13.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE LAM
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 73.1
% of Possessions with RICE LAM
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 26.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 18.5%
Turnover 16.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE LAM
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 30.6%