NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN ISU
Points 62.5 87.8
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 25.6 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 23.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 21.0
Shooting KENN ISU
Field Goals Made 20.8 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 58.2
Field Goal % 37.6% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 29.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 70.8%
Ball Control KENN ISU
Rebounds 31.7 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.4
Turnovers 16.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.3
Steals 5.4 9.8
Fouls 19.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN ISU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 76.0
% of Possessions with KENN ISU
2 Point Attempt 31.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 22.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 26.9%
Turnover 21.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 13.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN ISU
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 34.0%