NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM TULN
Points 75.4 78.7
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 20.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 19.8
Shooting TEM TULN
Field Goals Made 25.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 53.9
Field Goal % 39.4% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 27.7
Free Throw % 70.1% 71.6%
Ball Control TEM TULN
Rebounds 37.7 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 5.6
Turnovers 9.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 6.6 5.8
Fouls 17.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM TULN
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 70.0
% of Possessions with TEM TULN
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 23.8%
Turnover 12.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM TULN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 17.2%