NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM UCF
Points 62.7 74.3
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 23.7 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 19.8
Points From Free Throws 16.8 17.4
Shooting TEM UCF
Field Goals Made 19.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 56.1
Field Goal % 35.0% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 11.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.9% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 16.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 25.3
Free Throw % 70.1% 68.6%
Ball Control TEM UCF
Rebounds 32.4 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.5
Turnovers 10.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.5
Steals 6.2 7.0
Fouls 16.2 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM UCF
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 72.1
% of Possessions with TEM UCF
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 24.6%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.8%
Turnover 15.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM UCF
Shot Blocked 9.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 32.4%