NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN BELL
Points 80.7 76.2
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.4 25.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 13.5
Shooting KENN BELL
Field Goals Made 28.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 60.5
Field Goal % 45.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 14.9 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 17.8
Free Throw % 67.1% 75.6%
Ball Control KENN BELL
Rebounds 38.9 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 6.9
Turnovers 9.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.1
Steals 4.9 4.8
Fouls 15.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN BELL
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 70.9
% of Possessions with KENN BELL
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 28.9%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.7%
Turnover 12.5% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN BELL
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 19.3%