NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE UTEP
Points 69.0 70.0
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 20.4
Points From Free Throws 15.8 13.1
Shooting RICE UTEP
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 48.9 58.3
Field Goal % 48.4% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 15.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 19.2
Free Throw % 69.2% 68.0%
Ball Control RICE UTEP
Rebounds 34.2 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.6
Turnovers 16.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.8
Steals 5.8 11.2
Fouls 14.4 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE UTEP
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 70.2
% of Possessions with RICE UTEP
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 22.8%
Player Fouled 23.9% 20.2%
Turnover 22.7% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 15.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE UTEP
Shot Blocked 4.8% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 29.1%